Exact calculation
Hypergeometric law applied in real time
Before ending your turn, know your real odds of hitting the card you need with the End Phase draw.
Free tool
Estimate the probability of drawing at least 1 target card with Clown Crew Matinee Operatics' End Phase draw effect.
Cards remaining in your Deck
Cards you're looking for, in your Deck
Cards you will draw (different monster card types Tributed, max 6)
Chance of drawing at least 1 target card
21.4%
Expected target cards drawn : 0.23
Exact outcome breakdown
Exact calculation
Before ending your turn, know your real odds of hitting the card you need with the End Phase draw.
Matched to your combo
Ritual, Fusion, Synchro, Xyz, Pendulum, Link: each different type Tributed from the Deck or Extra Deck adds one draw. Enter that number for an accurate result.
Several target cards
The target isn't always a single card: add up every card in your Deck that pushes your game plan forward.
Clown Crew Matinee Operatics is a Continuous Spell Card from the "Clown Crew" archetype. During your Main Phase, it can Special Summon 1 "Clown Crew" monster from the Deck or Extra Deck, ignoring its Summoning conditions. During the End Phase, it lets you draw cards equal to the number of different monster card types (Ritual, Fusion, Synchro, Xyz, Pendulum, Link) Tributed that turn, then you can Set 1 Spell/Trap from your hand. You can only use each effect once per turn.
The End Phase draw effect is what matters here: depending on how your turn went, you draw 1 to 6 cards. The more different monster types you Tributed, the more you draw — and the higher your odds of finding a specific card.
This calculator estimates the probability of drawing at least 1 copy of a given card among the cards you draw, based on the state of your Yu-Gi-Oh! Deck at that point in the duel.
Letting N the number of cards remaining in your Deck, K the number of target cards it contains, and n the number of cards drawn, this is a draw without replacement described by the hypergeometric distribution. The probability of drawing no target card is:
P(0) = C(N−K, n) / C(N, n)
The probability of drawing at least 1 target card is therefore simply 1 − P(0). The calculator applies this formula directly, along with the full distribution of how many target cards you could draw.
FAQ
It's a "Clown Crew" Continuous Spell. During the Main Phase it Special Summons 1 "Clown Crew" monster from the Deck or Extra Deck, ignoring its conditions. During the End Phase it draws cards equal to the number of different monster types Tributed that turn, then lets you Set 1 Spell/Trap from your hand. Each effect is once per turn.
0 to 6. You count the different monster types (Ritual, Fusion, Synchro, Xyz, Pendulum, Link) Tributed from the Deck or Extra Deck during the turn. Tributing two Synchro monsters counts as 1 type; a Synchro and an Xyz count as 2.
It's a random draw without replacement, described by the hypergeometric distribution. The probability depends on the number of cards left in the Deck, the number of target cards it contains, and the number of cards drawn. This calculator applies that formula directly.
Yes: if several cards in your Deck push your game plan forward, add up the total number of copies to get your real probability of drawing one.
Free, no sign-up — open the deckbuilder and adjust your copy counts accordingly.
We use cookies to analyze traffic and improve your experience. You can accept, reject, or customize your choices at any time. Learn more
Choose which cookies you want to allow. Necessary cookies are required for the site to function and cannot be disabled.
Necessary
Required for authentication, security (CSRF) and core site functionality. Cannot be disabled.
Analytics
Helps us understand how the site is used (Google Analytics, Ahrefs, PostHog) so we can improve it. Only enabled with your consent.